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Intelligence and the “Unknown Unknown”: How to Prepare for and Recover from Fundamental Surprise Dr. Shmuel Bar Dr. Shmuel Bar heads Shmuel Bar Research and Analysis, an independent boutique analytic group that specializes in the Middle East and Russia and is CEO of IntuView Ltd. He is a former senior officer in the Israeli Intelligence. […]
Deterring Opportunistic Aggression During the Cuban Missile Crisis: Necessary Reminders and Applications for Today Matthew R. Costlow Matthew R. Costlow is a Senior Analyst at the National Institute for Public Policy and former Special Assistant in the Office of Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy, Department of Defense. Introduction The popular image of the 1962 Cuban […]
Nuclear Deterrence vs Nuclear Warfighting: Is There a Difference and Does it Matter? Admiral Charles Richard, USN (Ret.) ADM Charles Richard, USN (Ret.) is a former Commander, U.S. Strategic Command, and the University of Virginia Miller Center’s James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor. Hon. Franklin C. Miller Hon. Franklin C. Miller, Principal, the Scowcroft Group, and […]
The Rise of a New Axis: Great Power Struggle and the Future of Conflict Dr. Peppino DeBiaso Dr. Peppino DeBiaso served in a number of positions in the U.S. Department of Defense, including as Director of the Office of Missile Defense Policy. He has held research and teaching positions at the ANSER Corporation, California State […]
Washington: Declare Success and Lead Dr. Keith B. Payne Dr. Keith B. Payne is a co-founder of the National Institute for Public Policy, Professor Emeritus at the Graduate School of Defense and Strategic Studies, Missouri State University, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, and former Senior Advisor to the Office of the Secretary of […]
Defending America: The Next Steps in Homeland Missile Defense David J. Trachtenberg David J. Trachtenberg is Vice President of the National Institute for Public Policy. Previously, he served as Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. Introduction Among the more consequential decisions the second Trump Administration must confront is whether to allow America’s continued vulnerability […]
Next Steps in Arms Control? Lessons from Moscow’s New START Violations Dr. Michaela Dodge Dr. Michaela Dodge is a Research Scholar at the National Institute for Public Policy. “I don’t understand why we go to the trouble of negotiating with a potential adversary with the understanding that the adversary is going to cheat.” – […]
German Defense Policy: Where to Now? Michael Rühle Michael Rühle is the former Head of the Climate and Energy Security Section, NATO, and served for over 30 years in NATO’s international staff, specializing in policy planning, speechwriting, energy security, and hybrid threats. It was a sheer coincidence, yet it was telling: barely 24 hours after […]
A Terrible Idea: Buying From Our Adversaries Michael Hochberg Michael Hochberg is a visiting scholar at the Centre for Geopolitics at Cambridge University, a Caltech-trained physicist, and a serial semiconductor company founder with four startup exits to his name. His writings on geopolitics can be found at longwalls.substack.com. Introduction Buying complex electronics and consumer […]
Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive “Holiday from History” Dr. Keith B. Payne Dr. Keith B. Payne is a co-founder of the National Institute for Public Policy, Professor Emeritus at the Graduate School of Defense and Strategic Studies, Missouri State University, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, and former Senior Advisor to the […]
The Implications of Russia’s New Nuclear Doctrine Dr. Mark B. Schneider Dr. Schneider is a Senior Analyst with the National Institute for Public Policy. Dr. Schneider previously served in DoD as Principal Director for Forces Policy, Principal Director for Strategic Defense, Space and Verification Policy, Director for Strategic Arms Control Policy and Representative of the […]
Deterrence is Integrated in Theory, but not in Practice: The Problem and (Partial) Solution Matthew R. Costlow Matthew R. Costlow is a Senior Analyst at the National Institute for Public Policy and former Special Assistant in the Office of Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy, Department of Defense. Introduction Deterring a strategic attack on the United […]
A Modest Proposal to Improve Joint Professional Military Education Admiral Charles Richard, USN (Ret.) ADM Charles Richard, USN (Ret.) is a former Commander, U.S. Strategic Command, and the University of Virginia Miller Center’s James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor. Robert Peters Robert Peters is the Nuclear Deterrence and Missile Defense Research Fellow at the Heritage Foundation. […]
Geopolitical Consequences of Ukraine’s Defeat Dr. Michaela Dodge Dr. Michaela Dodge is a Research Scholar at the National Institute for Public Policy. Russia’s economic and societal adaptation for a long war is leaving Ukraine outgunned and outmanned, and its allies are left to scramble for ammunition around the world.[1] The bravery and dedication of the […]
The Biden Administration’s Nuclear Weapons Employment Guidance—Increased Cost and Reduced Deterrent Effectiveness Dr. Mark B. Schneider Dr. Schneider is a Senior Analyst with the National Institute for Public Policy. Dr. Schneider previously served in DoD as Principal Director for Forces Policy, Principal Director for Strategic Defense, Space and Verification Policy, Director for Strategic Arms Control […]
The 2023 Strategic Posture Commission Report From a Japanese Perspective Masashi Murano Masashi Murano is a senior fellow with Hudson Institute’s Japan Chair. Introduction U.S. allies are interested in America’s strategic posture because it has a direct bearing on the credibility of U.S. extended deterrence guarantees. The 2023 Strategic Posture Commission report comprehensively addresses the qualitative […]