National Institute is pleased to announce its new publication, the Journal of Policy & Strategy—a quarterly, online, and peer-reviewed journal. In addition to the efforts of the contributing and managing editors, this new journal will be supported by a world-class Board of Editorial Advisors with diverse expertise and professional backgrounds, as is befitting a publication focusing on policy and strategy. Our priority goal is to include thoughtful, well-researched articles from a range of views, including the work of both younger and well-established authors.

Regular features of the Journal of Policy & Strategy will include:

  • Timely, original analyses of prominent international security issues;
  • Interviews of important contributors to national security;
  • The presentation of key official government reports, speeches and Congressional testimony;
  • Expert reviews of recent books and published studies focusing on international security;
  • Proceedings from National Institute’s monthly online symposia on critical national security topics; and,
  • A feature entitled “From the Archive” which will regularly present a classic article, study or testimony from the 1960s-1980s that provides an analysis or commentary of enduring great value.

The editors would like to welcome readers to the Journal of Policy & Strategy. All issues will be posted at the National Institute website and so be available to all readers without restrictions or charge. Every issue will be in the public interest and well worth the read.

Volume 3 – 2023

Vol. 3, No. 4 | Full Issue

Editorial Advisory Board

Table Of Contents

Editor’s Note

Analysis

Estimating the Number and Characteristics of Russia’s Strategic Nuclear Weapons
Mark B. Schneider

Back to the Future: U.S. Nuclear Deterrence Today and the Foster Panel Study
Keith B. Payne and Matthew R. Costlow

What Do Russia’s Nuclear Threats Tell Us About Arms Control Prospects?
Michaela Dodge

Can Nuclear War Stay Limited?
Matthew R. Costlow

Interviews

Gen. Glen D. VanHerck, USAF, Commander, North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) and United States Northern Command (USNORTHCOM)

Michael Rühle, former Head of the Climate and Energy Security Section at NATO

Proceedings

Restraints at the Nuclear Brink:Factors in Keeping War Limited, May 2023

Comparing Soviet, Russian, and Chinese Influence Operations, June 2023

Russia’s New START Suspension: Does Arms Control Matter?, July 2023

Literature Reviews

John A. Gentry, Neutering the CIA: Why US Intelligence Versus Trump Has Long-Term Consequences
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

John D. Maurer, Competitive Arms Control: Nixon, Kissinger, & SALT 1969-1972
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

John H. Maurer and Erik Goldstein, eds., The Road to Pearl Harbor: Great Power War in Asia and the Pacific
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Documentation

Document No. 1. Executive Summary, 2023 Strategic Posture Commission

Document No. 2. U.S. Department of Defense, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China, 2023, Select Excerpts

From the Archive

Executive Summary, 2009 Strategic Posture Commission

Vol. 3, No. 3 | Full Issue

Editorial Advisory Board

Table Of Contents

Editor’s Note

Analysis

The Rejection of Intentional Population Targeting for “Tripolar” Deterrence
Keith B. Payne

Post-Truth: Impending Tests and Possible Responses
Gary L. Geipel

Subordinating Extended Deterrence to Antiquated Arms Control Initiatives
Keith B. Payne and Michaela Dodge

BeiDou: China’s Constellation of Vassalage
Kathleen Ellis

U.S. Strategic Culture, Homeland Ballistic Missile Defense, and Mutual Vulnerability
Jacob Blank

Interviews

Mr. Robert Taylor, USSTRATCOM/J8

Proceedings

Assessing the 2022 Missile Defense Review, January 2023

Lessons Learned from Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine—One Year Later, February 2023

The Grand Illusion of Disarmament, April 2023

Literature Reviews

Jim Popkin, Code Name Blue Wren: The True Story of America’s Most Dangerous Female Spy—and the Sister She Betrayed
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

Mark Galeotti, Putin's Wars: From Chechnya to Ukraine
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

Center for Global Security Research (CGSR) Study Group, Brad Roberts, Chair, China’s Emergence as a Second Nuclear Peer: Implications for U.S. Nuclear Deterrence Strategy
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Documentation

Document No. 1. Prepared Statement, Hon. Robert G. Joseph before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, June 24, 2010

Document No. 2. Prepared Statement of Dr. Keith B. Payne before the Senate Armed Services Committee, July 27, 2010

Document No. 3. FY 2024 National Defense Authorization Act Passed by the U.S. House of Representatives, Select Excerpts

Document No. 4. FY 2024 National Defense Authorization Act Passed by the U.S. Senate, Select Excerpts

From the Archive

Herman Kahn, “Arms Control Through Defense,” April 1983

Vol. 3, No. 2 | Full Issue

Editorial Advisory Board

Table Of Contents

Editor’s Note

Analysis

Nuclear Disarmament: The Contemporary Great Illusion?
Keith B. Payne

The Use of Economic Tools to Deter Chinese Military Aggression Against Taiwan
David J. Trachtenberg

Why the Deep Nuclear Reductions Movement Should Focus on Russia and China
Matthew R. Costlow

Gold, Guns, and Whale Oil: Three Impediments to Global Nuclear Zero
John Mark Mattox

Interviews

Gen. Kevin Chilton (USAF, Ret.), former Commander of U.S. Strategic Command

Thomas Kent, former President and CEO of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

Proceedings

Allied Assurance and Extended Deterrence in a Multipolar World, September 2022

The Benefits of Strengthened Homeland Missile Defense, October 2022

Assessing the National Security Strategy and National Defense Strategy, November 2022

Assessing the 2022 Nuclear Posture Review, December 2022

Literature Reviews

Stella Morabito: The Weaponization of Loneliness: How Tyrants Stoke Our Fear of Isolation to Silence, Divide, and Conquer
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

Charles Glaser, Austin Long, and Brian Radzinsky (eds.), Managing U.S. Nuclear Operations in the 21st Century
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

Edward Kaplan, The End of Victory: Prevailing in the Thermonuclear Age
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Documentation

Document No. 1. Excerpts from the Statement of Dr. John F. Plumb, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Space Policy before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces on Fiscal Year 2024 Strategic Forces Posture, March 8, 2023

Document No. 2. Excerpts from the Statement of General Glen VanHerck, United States Air Force Commander, United States Northern Command and North American Aerospace Defense Command before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces on Fiscal Year 2024 Strategic Forces Posture, March 8, 2023

Document No. 3. Excerpts from the Statement of General James H. Dickinson, Commander, United States Space Command before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces on Fiscal Year 2024 Strategic Forces Posture, March 8, 2023

Document No. 4. Excerpts from the Statement of General Anthony J. Cotton, Commander, United States Strategic Command before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces on Fiscal Year 2024 Strategic Forces Posture, March 8, 2023

Document No. 5. Testimony by Greg Weaver, Senior Associate (Non-Resident), Project on Nuclear Issues, CSIS, before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces, March 28, 2023

From the Archive

President Ronald Reagan, “Address to the Nation on Defense and National Security,” March 23, 1983

James A. Abrahamson and Henry F. Cooper, “What Did We Get For Our $300 Billion Investment in SDI/BMD?,” September 1993

Vol. 3, No. 1 | Full Issue

Table Of Contents

Editorial Advisory Board

Editor’s Note

Analysis

National Strategy for Countering North Korea
Robert Joseph, Robert Collins, Joseph DeTrani, Nicholas Eberstadt, Olivia Enos,
David Maxwell, and Greg Scarlatoiu

Observations on U.S. Nuclear Posture and The War in Ukraine
General Robert C. Kehler, USAF (retired)

Without Precedent: Global Emerging Trends in Nuclear and Hypersonic Weapons
Brian Ellison, Dennis Evans, Matthew Lytwyn, Jonathan Schwalbe

Rethinking Deterrence: How and Why?
Keith B. Payne

Mischaracterizing U.S. Nuclear Deterrence Policy: The Myth of Deliberate Civilian Targeting
David J. Trachtenberg

Proceedings

Deterrence in a Trilateral Strategic Environment, May 2022

Deterring China in the Taiwan Strait, June 2022

Overcoming the Roadblocks to Homeland Missile Defense, July 2022

What to Expect in the 2022 Nuclear Posture Review, August 2022

Literature Reviews

Keith B. Payne, Chasing a Grand Illusion: Replacing Deterrence With Disarmament
Reviewed by Susan Koch

Ashley J. Tellis, Striking Asymmetries: Nuclear Transitions in Southern Asia
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

Alexander Lanoszka, Military Alliances in the Twenty-First Century
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

Toby Dalton, Megan DuBois, Natalie Montoya, Ankit Panda, and George Perkovich, Assessing U.S. Options for the Future of the ICBM Force
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Beatrice Heuser, War: A Genealogy of Western Ideas and Practices
Reviewed by C. Dale Walton

Documentation

Document No. 1. Selections from Hearing to Consider the Nomination of General Anthony J. Cotton, United States Air Force, for Reappointment to the Grade of General and to Be Commander of United States Strategic Command, before the Senate Armed Services Committee, September 15, 2022

From the Archive

Dr. Colin S. Gray, Nuclear Deterrence and the Catholic Bishops, Information Series No. 140, National Institute for Public Policy, April 1983