National Institute is pleased to announce its new publication, the Journal of Policy & Strategy—a quarterly, online, and peer-reviewed journal. In addition to the efforts of the contributing and managing editors, this new journal will be supported by a world-class Board of Editorial Advisors with diverse expertise and professional backgrounds, as is befitting a publication focusing on policy and strategy. Our priority goal is to include thoughtful, well-researched articles from a range of views, including the work of both younger and well-established authors.

Regular features of the Journal of Policy & Strategy will include:

  • Timely, original analyses of prominent international security issues;
  • Interviews of important contributors to national security;
  • The presentation of key official government reports, speeches and Congressional testimony;
  • Expert reviews of recent books and published studies focusing on international security;
  • Proceedings from National Institute’s monthly online symposia on critical national security topics; and,
  • A feature entitled “From the Archive” which will regularly present a classic article, study or testimony from the 1960s-1980s that provides an analysis or commentary of enduring great value.

The editors would like to welcome readers to the Journal of Policy & Strategy. All issues will be posted at the National Institute website and so be available to all readers without restrictions or charge. Every issue will be in the public interest and well worth the read.

Volume 4 – 2024

Vol. 4, No. 4 | Full Issue

Editorial Advisory Board

Table Of Contents

Editor’s Note

Analysis

The Need for Our National Security Professionals to Refocus
ADM Charles Richard, USN (Ret.) and Robert Peters

Protecting and Advancing U.S. National Interests in Outer Space
Marc J. Berkowitz

Post-Truth and National Security: Background and Options for a New Administration
Gary L. Geipel

Russia’s Second Front: The Balkans
Stephen J. Blank

Interviews

ADM Charles Richard, USN (Ret.), former Commander, U.S. Strategic Command, University of Virginia Miller Center’s James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor

Congresswoman Jane Harman, Chair, Commission on the National Defense Strategy and Amb. Eric Edelman, Vice Chair, Commission on the National Defense Strategy

Prof. Eliot Cohen, Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy, Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Robert E. Osgood Professor, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and Prof. Phillips O’Brien, Senior Associate (non-resident), Center for Strategic and International Studies and Head of the School of International Relations at the University of St. Andrews

Proceedings

Current and Projected Growth of Chinese Nuclear Weapons, August 2024

Just War Theory, Nuclear Weapons, and Deterrence, October 2024

Literature Reviews

Michael Kimmage, Collisions: The Origins of the War in Ukraine and the New Global Instability
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

John J. Sullivan, Midnight in Moscow: A Memoir from the Front Lines of Russia’s War Against the West
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

Lyle J. Morris and Rakesh Sood, Understanding China’s Perceptions and Strategy Toward Nuclear Weapons: A Case Study; Chris Andrews and Justin Anderson, China’s Theater-range, Dual-capable Delivery Systems: Integrated Deterrence and Risk Reduction Approaches to Counter a Growing Threat; and, David O. Shullman, John Culver, Kitsch Liao, and Samantha Wong, Adapting US Strategy to Account for China’s Transformation into a Peer Nuclear Power
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Congresswoman Jane Harman, Chair and Ambassador Eric Edelman, Vice Chair, Report of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy, July 2024
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

Documentation

Document No. 1. Eliot A. Cohen and Phillips O’Brien (Foreword by Hew Strachan), “The Russia-Ukraine War: A Study in Analytic Failure,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, September 2024, Select Excerpts

Document No. 2. Svein Efjestad, “The future of the US nuclear guarantee,” Norwegian Institute of International Affairs, September 2024, Select Excerpts

From the Archive

Rationale and Requirements for U.S. Nuclear Forces and Arms Control, Volume I, Executive Report
(Fairfax, VA: National Institute for Public Policy, 2001), Select Excerpt

Vol. 4, No. 3 | Full Issue

Editorial Advisory Board

Table Of Contents

Editor’s Note

Analysis

China’s Nuclear Delivery Vehicles
Mark B. Schneider

Germany and Extended Deterrence
Michael Rühle

“Knowing Your Enemy”: James R. Schlesinger and the Rise of Tailored Deterrence
Kyle Balzer

Israel-Hezbollah War and the Islamic Republic of Iran
Masoud Kazemzadeh and Penny L. Watson

Interviews

David Lonsdale, Senior Lecturer, University of Hull, United Kingdom

Bruno Tertrais, Deputy Director of the Foundation for Strategic Research, France

Proceedings

Adapting U.S. Missile Defense Policy to Evolving Threats, May 2024

The Impact of Arms Control on Extended Deterrence and Assurance, June 2024

Emergence of A New ‘Quad’: The Growing Entente Between China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran, July 2024

Literature Reviews

Rebeccah L. Heinrichs, Duty to Deter: American Nuclear Deterrence and the Just War Doctrine
Reviewed by Keith B. Payne

Ilan Berman, Challenging Moscow’s Message
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

James Graham Wilson, America’s Cold Warrior: Paul Nitze and National Security from Roosevelt to Reagan
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

Aaron Bateman, Weapons in Space: Technology, Politics, and the Rise and Fall of the Strategic Defense Initiative
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Matthew Kroenig and Dan Negrea, We Win, They Lose: Republican Foreign Policy & the New Cold War
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

Documentation

Document No. 1. Congressional Testimony of James E. Fanell, CAPT USN (Retired) before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Oversight and Accountability Hearing on “Defending America from the Chinese Communist Party’s Political Warfare, Part II” June 26, 2024, Select Excerpts

Document No. 2. Washington Summit Declaration issued by the Heads of State and Government participating in the meeting of the North Atlantic Council in Washington, D.C., July 10, 2024, Select Excerpts

Document No. 3. Sweden’s National Security Strategy 2024, Select Excerpts

Document No. 4. Summary of the Commission on the 2024 National Defense Strategy, Select Excerpts

From the Archive

B.A. Wellnitz, Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory panel on tactical nuclear warfare. Report of the fifth meeting (short title: TAC-5), April 5-6, 1977

Vol. 4, No. 2 | Full Issue

Editorial Advisory Board

Table Of Contents

Editor’s Note

Analysis

Trends in Allied Assurance: Challenges and Questions
Michaela Dodge

The Challenge of Integrated Deterrence: From the “New Look” to Today
Christopher J. Griffin

Homeland Missile Defense: Responding to a Transformed Security Environment
Robert G. Joseph and Peppino A. DeBiaso

Strengthening Extended Deterrence and Assurance or Alliance Dissolution: A Time for Choosing
Keith B. Payne

The Need for a “Two-War Strategy” to Reinforce Extended Deterrence and Assurance
David J. Trachtenberg

Interviews

Rod Lyon, Senior Fellow-International Strategy, Australian Strategic Policy Institute

Dong-hyun Kim, International Broadcast Journalist, Voice of America

Proceedings

Lessons Learned from the Israel-Hamas Conflict and Implications for Deterrence, January 2024

NATO at 75: Up to the Challenge?, March 2024

Literature Reviews

Yaroslav Trofimov, Our Enemies Shall Vanish
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

Report on Deterrence in a World of Nuclear Multipolarity, Department of State, International Security Advisory Board, October 2023
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

A Luke Griffith, Unraveling the Gray Area Problem: The United States and the INF Treaty
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Jared M. McKinney, Peter Harris, Deterrence Gap: Avoiding War in the Taiwan Strait
Reviewed by Jennifer Bradley

Documentation

Document No. 1. Statement of Anthony J. Cotton, Commander, United States Strategic Command, before the United States Senate Committee on Armed Services, February 29, 2024, Select Excerpts

Document No. 2. Statement of General Gregory M. Guillot, United States Air Force, Commander, United States Northern Command and North American Aerospace Defense Command, before the United States Senate Committee on Armed Services, March 14, 2024, Select Excerpts

Document No. 3. Delivering the UK’s Nuclear Deterrent as a National Endeavour Presented to Parliament by the Secretary of State for Defence by Command of His Majesty, March 2024

From the Archive

Keith B. Payne (Study Director) and John S. Foster Jr. (Chairman, Senior Review Group), Nuclear Force Adaptability for Deterrence and Assurance: A Prudent Alternative to Minimum Deterrence, Executive Summary, 2014

Vol. 4, No. 1 | Full Issue

Editorial Advisory Board

Table Of Contents

Editor’s Note

Analysis

The Challenges in Estimating the Number of Russian Nuclear Weapons
Mark Schneider

From Pacifism to Nuclear Deterrence: Norman Angell and the Founding of NATO
Michael Rühle

Morality, Ethics, and National Power
John Mark Mattox

Two Theaters but One War: Why We Should Support Ukraine and Israel
Stephen Blank

Interviews

Hon. Franklin C. Miller, Principal, the Scowcroft Group, and a Commissioner on the congressionally mandated 2023 Strategic Posture Commission

Dr. Nadia Schadlow, Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute, and former Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategy

Proceedings

The Size and Characteristics of the Russian Nuclear Stockpile, September 2023

The Rejection of Intentional Population Targeting for ‘Tripolar’ Deterrence, November 2023

Literature Reviews

John Allen Williams, Stephen J. Cimbala, Sam C. Sarkesian, US National Security: Policymakers, Processes, and Politics, Sixth Edition
Reviewed by David J. Trachtenberg

Thomas Kent, How Russia Loses: Hubris and Miscalculation in Putin’s Kremlin
Reviewed by Michaela Dodge

Ankit Panda, Indo-Pacific Missile Arsenals: Avoiding Spirals and Mitigating Escalation Risks
Reviewed by Matthew R. Costlow

Documentation

Document No. 1. Fiscal Year 2024 National Defense Authorization Act, Conference Report, Select Excerpts

Document No. 2. Demand for Theater Missile Defense Assets, Statement by Rear Admiral Douglas L. Williams, USN, Director (Acting), Missile Defense Agency, Before the House Armed Services Committee, Strategic Forces Subcommittee December 7, 2023

Document No. 3. Setting Transatlantic Defence up for Success: A Military Strategy for Ukraine’s Victory and Russia’s Defeat, Discussion Paper, December 2023

From the Archive

Document No. 1. Report of the President’s Commission on Strategic Forces, April 1983, Select Excerpts

Document No. 2. Nuclear Deterrence in U.S.-Soviet Relations, Keith B. Payne (Foreword by Colin S. Gray), Westview Press: Boulder, CO, 1982, pp. 3-4